Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Resolves Feb 27, 2026 Condition 0x3665b772...
4.4 weak
Yes 28.0¢
No 72.0¢
24h move +15.5%
Conviction 46.0
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 2.7
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 40.3

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
294
0.270
634
0.260
185
0.250
602
0.240
53
0.230
169
0.220
123
0.210
266
0.200
179
0.190
77
0.180
5
0.170
224
0.160
Last 0.280
0.280
93
0.290
526
0.300
12.5K
0.310
516
0.320
224
0.330
187
0.340
15
0.350
161
0.360
290
0.370
25
0.380
234
0.390
92

Signals

  • 1. No extreme structural stress detected in this interval.
Volume (24h) $162K
Total Volume $309K
Liquidity $24.2K
Spread +2.0%
Best Bid 27.0¢
Best Ask 29.0¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 20 12:00 PM ET to February 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.