Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Resolves Feb 27, 2026 • Condition 0x25870b54...
→ -1.5 weak
Yes 2.9¢
No 97.2¢
24h move -8.0%
Conviction 94.4
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength -0.9
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 20.9

Price Structure

1H1D1W1MALL
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
1.5K
0.023
1.5K
0.022
118
0.021
1.1K
0.020
505
0.019
8
0.018
228
0.012
339
0.011
7.4K
0.010
110
0.008
13
0.005
499
0.004
Last 0.023
0.025
368
0.026
41
0.027
8
0.028
127
0.029
178
0.030
245
0.031
8
0.032
153
0.034
42
0.040
170
0.041
604
0.042
230

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $148K
Total Volume $252K
Liquidity $34.3K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 2.8¢
Best Ask 2.9¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 20 12:00 PM ET to February 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.