Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Resolves Feb 25, 2026 • Condition 0x1e44df4e...
→ -4.5 weak
Yes 0.1¢
No 100.0¢
24h move -2.1%
Conviction 99.8
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength -2.7
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 6.1

Price Structure

1H1D1W1MALL
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
Last 0.001
0.001
105.4K
0.002
3.0K
0.004
250
0.011
144
0.012
81
0.013
200
0.014
400
0.015
1.2K
0.040
406
0.042
475
0.065
1.3K
0.079
1.0K

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $902K
Total Volume $1.0M
Liquidity $202K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 0.0¢
Best Ask 0.1¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 23 12:00 PM ET to February 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.