Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
→ -0.2 weak
Yes 1.1¢
No 98.9¢
24h move -0.8%
Conviction 97.6
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength -0.1
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 2.1
Order Book
Bid size Price Ask size
26.8K
0.010
53.3K
0.009
77.2K
0.008
26.8K
0.007
178.3K
0.006
36.6K
0.005
170.0K
0.004
185.7K
0.003
667.8K
0.002
2.01M
0.001
Last 0.010
0.011
59.4K
0.012
411
0.013
17.7K
0.014
5.3K
0.015
6.8K
0.016
2.4K
0.017
1.1K
0.018
431
0.019
655
0.020
31.9K
0.022
2.9K
0.024
1.5K
Signals
- 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $486K
Total Volume $12M
Liquidity $248K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 1.1¢
Best Ask 1.2¢
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.