UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
→ 0.0 weak
Yes 50.5¢
No 49.5¢
24h move -19.0%
Conviction 2.0
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 49.4
Order Book
Bid size Price Ask size
84.6K
0.500
20.0K
0.490
1.5K
0.460
1.1K
0.430
200
0.420
300
0.390
1.0K
0.360
1.0K
0.290
500
0.280
300
0.140
5
0.100
900
0.090
Last 0.500
0.510
17.7K
0.520
5.4K
0.540
5.5K
0.560
61
0.570
62
0.580
61
0.590
62
0.610
121
0.620
1.1K
0.630
897
0.640
121
0.650
70
Signals
- 1. Probability is balanced, indicating unresolved narrative risk.
Volume (24h) $132K
Total Volume $133K
Liquidity $71.1K
Spread +1.0%
Best Bid 50.0¢
Best Ask 51.0¢
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sofia Montenegro at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Montenegro" if Sofia Montenegro is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.