Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028 Condition 0x88d67705...
0.0 weak
Yes 1.3¢
No 98.8¢
24h move +0.1%
Conviction 97.4
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 0.3

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
125.2K
0.012
53.4K
0.011
12.2K
0.010
888.9K
0.009
995.2K
0.008
10.9K
0.006
2.80M
0.005
320.2K
0.004
222.9K
0.003
608.5K
0.002
626.4K
0.001
Last 0.012
0.013
186.9K
0.014
46.2K
0.017
3.1K
0.018
10.0K
0.022
5
0.029
999
0.032
3.3K
0.038
5
0.041
17
0.042
235
0.046
555
0.047
3.0K

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $725K
Total Volume $20M
Liquidity $595K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 1.2¢
Best Ask 1.3¢

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.