Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

• Condition 0x65bb9abb...
→ 0.0 weak
Yes 62.0¢
No 38.0¢
24h move +2.5%
Conviction 24.0
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 6.5

Price Structure

1H1D1W1MALL
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
26
0.610
145
0.600
131
0.590
32
0.580
50
0.570
22
0.560
203
0.550
27
0.540
22
0.530
100
0.520
590
0.500
805
0.430
Last 0.380
0.630
50
0.640
53
0.650
34
0.660
182
0.670
82
0.680
56
0.690
8
0.700
40
0.710
10
0.720
33
0.730
169
0.740
28

Signals

  • 1. Probability is balanced, indicating unresolved narrative risk.
Volume (24h) $79.0K
Total Volume $205K
Liquidity $8.4K
Spread +2.0%
Best Bid 61.0¢
Best Ask 63.0¢

Market Description

The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).