Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Resolves Mar 18, 2026 Condition 0x257b1820...
-0.0 weak
Yes 96.7¢
No 3.3¢
24h move +0.4%
Conviction 93.6
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength -0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 1.0

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
13.6K
0.967
6.4K
0.966
23.2K
0.965
14.0K
0.964
36.3K
0.963
91.8K
0.962
42.7K
0.961
69.2K
0.960
22.4K
0.959
28.8K
0.958
4.8K
0.957
16.6K
0.956
Last 0.967
0.968
14.4K
0.969
2.8K
0.970
154.4K
0.971
27.4K
0.972
6.6K
0.973
3.5K
0.974
27.5K
0.975
11.2K
0.976
2.6K
0.977
200
0.978
5.6K
0.979
10.2K

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $550K
Total Volume $20M
Liquidity $951K
Spread +0.2%
Best Bid 96.6¢
Best Ask 96.8¢

Market Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17 - 18, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.