Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 Condition 0x46d40e85...
0.1 weak
Yes 4.0¢
No 96.0¢
24h move +0.4%
Conviction 92.0
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.1
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 1.0

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
9.8K
0.037
66.4K
0.036
19.4K
0.035
7.5K
0.034
12.5K
0.033
27.4K
0.032
17.3K
0.031
18.0K
0.030
18.4K
0.029
24.1K
0.028
45.2K
0.027
36.2K
0.026
Last 0.039
0.039
17.0K
0.040
35.2K
0.041
63.4K
0.042
25.6K
0.043
23.4K
0.044
26.4K
0.045
72.2K
0.046
2.7K
0.047
8.7K
0.048
43.0K
0.049
33.2K
0.050
54.7K

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $1.3M
Total Volume $96M
Liquidity $1.3M
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 3.9¢
Best Ask 4.0¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.