Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
→ -0.1 weak
Yes 94.0¢
No 6.0¢
24h move -0.4%
Conviction 87.8
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength -0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 0.9
Order Book
Bid size Price Ask size
16
0.940
21.4K
0.939
3.1K
0.938
16.3K
0.937
52.7K
0.936
12.2K
0.935
3.1K
0.934
8.3K
0.933
8.0K
0.932
6.0K
0.931
3.3K
0.930
10.0K
0.929
Last 0.939
0.941
10
0.942
1.2K
0.943
5.3K
0.944
1.5K
0.945
9.8K
0.946
5.2K
0.947
21.2K
0.949
22
0.950
1.8K
0.951
22
0.953
3.8K
0.954
6
Signals
- 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $352K
Total Volume $43M
Liquidity $312K
Spread +0.2%
Best Bid 93.9¢
Best Ask 94.1¢
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.