Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 Condition 0xfc6eace3...
0.0 weak
Yes 0.3¢
No 99.8¢
24h move 0.0%
Conviction 99.6
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 0.0

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
223.9K
0.002
2.31M
0.001
Last 0.003
0.003
55.8K
0.004
25.6K
0.005
55.0K
0.006
42.7K
0.007
25.8K
0.008
23.8K
0.009
12.3K
0.010
11.5K
0.011
282
0.012
282
0.013
5.3K
0.014
2.0K

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $357K
Total Volume $22M
Liquidity $345K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 0.2¢
Best Ask 0.3¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.