Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?

Resolves Feb 25, 2026 • Condition 0x0fd0eeb5...
→ 1.2 weak
Yes 100.0¢
No 0.1¢
24h move +50.4%
Conviction 99.8
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.7
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 100.0

Price Structure

1H1D1W1MALL
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
415.5K
0.999
26
0.998
614
0.997
8.4K
0.996
198
0.995
350
0.994
200
0.993
200
0.992
3.3K
0.991
45.7K
0.990
600
0.988
100
0.986
Last 0.999

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
  • 2. Positioning appears stretched versus recent range.
Volume (24h) $458K
Total Volume $487K
Liquidity $153K
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 99.9¢
Best Ask $1.00

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.