Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 Condition 0x747dc809...
0.0 weak
Yes 16.5¢
No 83.5¢
24h move 0.0%
Conviction 66.0
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 0.0

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
381.6K
0.160
761.8K
0.150
503.2K
0.140
318.7K
0.130
212.0K
0.120
86.8K
0.110
348.3K
0.100
148.9K
0.090
274.4K
0.080
170.6K
0.070
12.1K
0.060
62.1K
0.050
Last 0.160
0.170
362.5K
0.180
316.1K
0.190
33.6K
0.200
5.1K
0.210
3.7K
0.220
16.6K
0.230
1.5K
0.240
5.7K
0.250
13.0K
0.260
10.4K
0.270
6.7K
0.280
8.0K

Signals

  • 1. No extreme structural stress detected in this interval.
Volume (24h) $1.0M
Total Volume $8.4M
Liquidity $1.1M
Spread +1.0%
Best Bid 16.0¢
Best Ask 17.0¢

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.