Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 Condition 0xdb1ae961...
0.0 weak
Yes 0.1¢
No 100.0¢
24h move 0.0%
Conviction 99.8
Realized Vol 0.0%
Trend Strength 0.0
Range Width 0.0%
Liquidity Quality 100.0
Reversion Risk 0.0

Price Structure

25¢50¢75¢100¢No price data available

Order Book

Bid size Price Ask size
Last 0.001
0.001
669.3K
0.002
238.6K
0.003
114.3K
0.004
53.3K
0.005
54.5K
0.006
24.0K
0.007
72.5K
0.008
90.0K
0.009
108.6K
0.010
100.8K
0.012
1.0K
0.016
46

Signals

  • 1. Consensus pricing is strong (one-sided probability).
Volume (24h) $11M
Total Volume $27M
Liquidity $1.9M
Spread +0.1%
Best Bid 0.0¢
Best Ask 0.1¢

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.